Monday, June 1, 2009
Sales picking up
So far we've seen 81 condo sales close over the past two months. Another sign of improvement compared to the end of last year and the beginning of this year.
Friday, May 22, 2009
Buses return to the downtown mall
Big change for motorists though. Right turns on Fifth and Sixth avenues are no longer allowed with one exception, Sixth Ave at Harrison. Plan accordingly or else you will be making three left turns to arrive at your destination.
The new Max line will begin operations in the fall.
picture from trimet.org web site
Wednesday, May 20, 2009
Current Real Estate Market News
- Pending sales for April were 13.6% higher then March.
- Closed sales for April were up 10% from March.
- Pending sales for 2009 are rising at a faster rate then they did in 2008 - 13.6% vs 6.8%.
- Inventory levels continue to decline. Now at 11 months vs 19.2 months in January.
While we are still at levels lower then last year, we are clearly on the upswing.
Below is an interesting chart from RMLS. It shows the average number of times homes are shown for each day of the week. Clearly Saturday is the most popular day to view houses while Monday is the least preferred.
Thursday, May 14, 2009
Save the Coliseum ... Not
I find it interesting that we have been thinking and planning for years to find a use for this old building and now that we finally have a really good idea, i.e. a new baseball stadium, the plan gets thrown out by our mayor.
I have lived in Portland since 1991 and ever since I moved here, I've been hearing about how old and outdated the coliseum was. We built a new sports arena called the Rose Garden to solve that problem, then began to figure out how to make the remaining area vibrant and attractive. Ten or more years later, we still have the same old building, vacated restaurant spaces, and a completely failed entertainment zone.
This dying area has been off the radar for years as no one seemed to care... not the city nor the Trailblazers. Now along comes a terrific plan to move minor league baseball onto the site of the old coliseum. Baseball games bring people who are ready to spend some money. We have the mass transit in place, the parking in place, the views of downtown in place... everything you could want to create a vibrant and sustainable entertainment district. It makes perfect sense.
But wait, a group of architects and people who love old buildings say not so fast. Can't take it down. It has significant value as an example of modern arena design. The mayor listens, kills the baseball plan. He calls for yet another planning session - as if the last dozen or so were somehow flawed or incomplete... there has to be an even better idea.
Lets face it Portland, the coliseum is old, outdated, and serves no useful function. It is not a catalyst.... it's a dinosaur.
I love old buildings as much as anyone but I am also a financial realist. The city needs to create forward momentum for the Rose Quarter to achieve it's potential. Baseball yes, Coliseum no.
Maybe those intent on maintaining the status quo could figure out a way to move the old building to Lents where we can all look at and admire it for it's beauty.
Monday, May 11, 2009
Rules for new Mortgage Modification Program.
The Treasury Department recently released its Home Affordable Modification Program Guidelines (part of its Making Home Affordable initiative), which include eligibility requirements to determine which homeowners qualify for relief under the plan. Following are the eligibility requirements as specified in the guidelines:
- Mortgage must have originated on or before January 1, 2009.
- Home must be an owner-occupied primary residence – this program is not designed for investor-owned properties.
- Home must be a single family 1-4 unit property (including condominium, cooperative, and manufactured home affixed to a foundation and treated as real property under state law).
- Home may not be vacant or condemned.
- Borrowers in bankruptcy are not automatically excluded from consideration.
Borrowers in active litigation regarding the mortgage loan can qualify for a modification without waiving their legal rights. - First lien loans must have an unpaid principal balance (prior to capitalization of arrearages) equal to or less than:
1. 1 Unit: $729,750
2. 2 Units: $934,200
3. 3 Units: $1,129,250
4. 4 Units: $1,403,400 - Foreclosure actions are suspended (not cancelled) during the trial period or while borrowers are considered for alternative foreclosure prevention options. If homeowners fail to qualify, foreclosure proceedings may resume.
- No minimum or maximum LTV ratio for eligibility purposes.
- Loans are eligible for only one loan modification under the program.
- Subordinate liens (such as second mortgages or home equity loans or lines of credit) are not included in the Front-End DTI calculation, but they are included in the Back-End DTI calculation. Back-End DTI is used to determine whether the borrower will be required to undergo credit counseling as a condition to modification.
- Servicers should follow any existing express contractual restrictions with respect to solicitation of borrowers for modifications. Applicants will be accepted into the program only until December 31, 2012 (the program expiration date), but incentive payments will continue up to five years after the date of entry into the Home Affordable Modification Program. Monitoring will continue through the life of the program.
Source: Realty Times
Wednesday, May 6, 2009
Tuesday, May 5, 2009
Condominium Sales Continue to Improve
But even better news is that during April, 47 units went "Sale Pending". Clearly buyers are now willing to write offers and move forward with purchase plans.
Friday, May 1, 2009
Astronomy Day at OMSI
Tuesday, April 28, 2009
Wondering who owns your Mortgage?
According to Realty Times, "You should be able to call the phone number on your last mortgage statement or the number in your payment coupon book and connect directly with your lender. More often than not, this merely puts you in touch with the servicer – the business that collects and processes your payments. In some cases, the servicer is prohibited from divulging the true identity of your lender. In other cases, the person you're dealing with has no idea who your lender is.
Mortgages are often sliced and diced and repackaged into mortgage backed securities (MBS's) that are sold and traded on Wall Street.
To add to the confusion, the mortgage meltdown sank many banks and other lending institutions which were taken over by other banks or regulators.
So, what should you do if you're trying to track down your lender? Take the following approach:
1. Call the phone number on your most recent mortgage statement or your payment coupon book. This will put you in touch with the servicer who may also be the lender who owns your mortgage or at least be able to tell you the name of your lender. (Remember, the person may not know or may not be permitted to tell you.)
2. If you have an FHA loan, contact FHA's National Servicing Center to determine who owns your mortgage:
(800) CALL- FHA / (800) 225- 5342
Email hsg-lossmit@hud.gov
3. You can try to contact Fannie Mae. If they own the note, they may provide the identity of the investor: 1-800-7FANNIE (1-800-732-6643).
4. If the mortgage is listed as MOM or has a MIN (Mortgage Identification Number) assigned to it, you can search the MERS database by mortgage identification number (MIN), your name and social security number, or the property's address. Dial the toll-free MERS Servicer Identification System at 888-679-6377 (an automated touch-tone system) or search online.
5. If you know the name of the bank or other lending institution that owns your mortgage but have no contact information for them, check out Hope Now .
One of the most important steps to saving your home from foreclosure is to get in touch with your lender immediately. Better yet, hire a qualified attorney with experience in foreclosures and loan modifications to contact your lender on your behalf, so you have legal representation on your side."
Source: Realty Times
Wednesday, April 22, 2009
Earth Day
Monday, April 20, 2009
Green Roofs
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Downtown Condo Market Update
The median price for a condo has drifted downward since it's peak in December 2007. currently, the median price is $335,000 meaning half of all sales are below this number and half above. It's a decline of 8% over one year, but is equal to the the median price observed two years ago.
Quarterly sales are at the lowest number since we began collecting data in early 2004. this reflects a very low month of January and February. Sales have picked up in March and we will watch to see if this increase can be sustained.
Condominium price per square foot continues to move downward for the fourth straight quarter. This is where the most pertinent market information is found. Condominium values have dropped 19% over the past one year and are down 22% over a two year period.
Buyers are getting spending less and getting more space for the money. Below are a few charts for you statistics lovers.
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
Welcome Signs
Monday, April 13, 2009
Portland Customs House Plan
Well after waiting and waiting for remodelling activity to start, we all figured out that the project was dead. Probably the economy.
Now we have a new proposal that seems to be gaining traction. The Portland International School has submitted an application to acquire the building. It has now been approved and the school plans to use green building techniques to renovate the empty space and preserve the historical character.
Sounds like a terrific plan. Now they just need to figure out how to raise the money. The building is being be donated to the school under a federal program but the costs to update the building will run many millions of dollars.
I am hoping they can pull it off.
- To learn more about the historical significance of the Portland Customs House go to this link - Customs House.
Friday, April 10, 2009
Condominium sales picking up
Thursday, April 9, 2009
Saving the Morris Marks House
Tuesday, April 7, 2009
Chicken Farmers hatch new plan
Recently, Kookoolan Farms owners Chrissie and Koorosh Zaerpoor announced that they are dramatically reducing the number of chickens they raise in order to pursue more natural and sustainable practices, including letting the birds spend their lives outdoors foraging on grass and insects.
The chickens will only be sold at Kookoolan Farms in Yamhill and once each month at the Hillsdale Farmers Market. Mark your calendar for April 19, the first weekend of availability in Hillsdale.For more info on Kookoolan Farms, visit them on the web - http://www.kookoolanfarms.com/.
Source - The Oregonian
Thursday, April 2, 2009
First Thursday Art Picks
Art Institute of Portland, 1122 NW Davis St - Top Green Projects: an exhibit of sustainable architecture and green design solutions as recognized by the American Institute of Architects and its committee on the Environment.
Bullseye Gallery, 300 NW 13th - Glassworks by Steve Klein and Michael Rogers.
Froelick Gallery, 714 NW Davis - works by Susan Seubert (Science/fiction) and Gail Tremblay (Recycled Images/Iroquois Forms)
Blackfish Gallery, 420 NW Ninth - "Blackfish is 30". Celebrating 30 years of business and still going strong.
Augen Gallery, 716 NW Davis - Selected works by Tom Miller, Sally Cleveland, and Amy Archer.
Wednesday, April 1, 2009
Habitat builds first LEED home in Portland
Primary sponsors for these homes were Bank of America and Walsh Construction while many others donated time and materials for these special homes.
We are told the energy efficiency of the homes actual exceeds the platinum standard. This project further demonstrates the Portland area's emergence as a leader in green construction and livability.
Tuesday, March 31, 2009
Earth Hour 2009 - Photo link
According to the Internet site Boston.com, Earth Hour "started in Sydney, Australia in 2007, and quickly grew into a global observance. More than 1,000 cities in over 80 countries observed Earth Hour 2009 on Saturday March 29th, as homes, office towers and landmarks turned off their lights for an hour starting at 8.30 pm local time to raise awareness about climate change and the threat from rising greenhouse gas emissions. Collected here are a series of before-and-after photographs - which (starting with the second one below) will fade between "on" and "off" when clicked. "
Check out the interesting photos here.
Monday, March 30, 2009
New Bike/Walking Lane for Morrison Bridge
Friday, March 27, 2009
Farmers Return to Downtown Portland
The downtown Farmers Markets are getting back to business. The large market on the Park blocks by PSU is now in operation every Saturday thru December 19. The Wednesday market will open on April 29th and run thru the end of October while the Pearl District gathering will being in June.
Please be aware that there are new restrictions on pets. Due to over crowding and other concerns, shoppers will no longer be allowed to bring their dogs and other pets to the two South Park Blocks markets. The new pet rules are similar to those in place at farmers markets in Beaverton, Hillsdale, Seattle and San Francisco.
More information can be found at the farmers web site.
Wednesday, March 25, 2009
Work resumes at Waterfront Pearl
In case you didn't know, Hoffman Construction had not been paid for several months of construction activity during a period of time when the developer was renegotiating his financing package with his lenders. As a result, Hoffman stopped work and filed liens against the complex. This problem further resulted in buyer purchases being held up until the cloud hanging over the project was cleared.
The developer has now apparently received new financing and Hoffman is back on the job. Remaining tasks involve completion of the water feature surrounding the two building and general repair/touchup.
Tuesday, March 24, 2009
Housing Market Signs
Home sales for February were higher then last February. These sales were up quite a bit for the Western US, 24 percent. Also, in some of our worse performing markets such as San Diego and Orange County, list prices are beginning to creep upward. A sign that these markets are levelling off.
Government programs to help banks with troubled mortgage assets has been positively received by investors causing a rally on Wall Street.
It's still too early to call, but like spring, signs of life are beginning to appear around us.
Monday, March 23, 2009
Lecture: "The Civil War in Oregon"
Speaker Robert K. Sutton is the current Chief Historian of the National Park Service. Prior to this, he served as the Superintendent of Manassas National Battlefield Park and directed the Historic Preservation and Historical Administration public history programs at Arizona State University. He has published several books, articles, and reviews on public history. One of his primary interests is preparing for the Civil War Sesquicentennial. Presented as part of the 2009 Mark O. Hatfield Distinguished Historians Forum.
See the Oregon Historical Society website for ticketing information.
Friday, March 20, 2009
Future Technology Today
Perceptive Pixel (what's this?)
Thursday, March 19, 2009
CD of the Week: New from U2
No Line on the Horizon isn’t meant to reinvent U2. Rather, it’s a “record about searching for meaning, but always knowing the way home.”
U2’s new music is available at amazon.com (where the album gets a four star rating), the Itunes music store, and music sellers throughout downtown Portland.
Wednesday, March 18, 2009
Downtown Sports Exciting
But wait, there's more. Portland is knocking on the door of professional soccer. After lengthy discussions and a very public hearing at City Hall, a plan emerged to support our city as a possible site for a Major League Soccer expansion team. If we get it, there will be considerable changes over at the Rose Quarter as a new stadium is built and we will see another big renovation at PGE park. Look for updates on this very soon as MLS is scheduled to make it's decision in the next week or so on expansion cities.
For sports fans, this is really exciting stuff.
Friday, March 13, 2009
Monthly Real Estate Market Report
Inventory levels are down from January (a good sign). Sales and pendings are up from January (another positive sign). Average sale price and median sale price are both up compared to January (means the free fall is stopping).
It may be too early to know for sure but we could be turning the corner on this real estate bubble thing and nailing in the floor for future prosperity.
Thursday, March 12, 2009
Gardening at South Waterfront
Thursday, March 5, 2009
Interesting First Thursday Events
Lizard Lounge: Featuring art work from Ashley Montague and live music by Mark Twain Indians, the First Thursday Reception Party at the Lizard Lounge will benefit Mercy Corps. Join Mercy Corps volunteers to learn more about their programs and ways you can help. Enjoy complimentary beverages from Widmer Brothers Brewery, a 10% discount on Lizard Lounge merchandise and 15% of all sales are donated to Mercy Corps. Music, drink, art, shopping and philanthropy – it doesn’t get any better than this. Lizard Lounge, 1323 NW Irving, 503.416.7476.
Wine Unwind: Romantic and thought provoking photographic images of vineyards from around the world by Emma Juhli. Wine Unwind 1019 NW 11th Ave, at Lovejoy, 503.946.8482
Forever Art & The CEO’s Home: Meet International Artist, Alexander Voitsekhovsky, Here from St. Petersburg, Russia. Exhibition through March 7th. Forever Art & The CEO's Home, 828 NW Hoyt St (corner of 9th & Hoyt), 503.227.2010
Urban Wine Works: Arletha Mueller Ryan's exhibit will be on display for all to see during the entire month of March. Join us for a First Thursday reception in honor of this talented artist and enjoy her artwork while treating yourself to complimentary appetizers, live music by Alfonso Pe Benito and Bishop Creek Cellars finely crafted Pinot Noirs and Pinot Gris. Arletha Mueller Ryan will be on hand to discuss her work and reveal her barrel-top art. Join us for art, food, music and wine! (Artwork will be featured until March 31st). Urban Wineworks, 407 NW 16th Ave., 503.226.9797.
Wednesday, March 4, 2009
South Waterfront Neighborhood Park
The park includes an Urban Gardens area, an Open Lawn area, and a Naturalized Landscape area.
Urban Gardens: A community gathering area with movable tables and chairs and a built-in bocce court, a garden retreat area with granite seat walls and a historic marker honoring the site of Portland's first cabin, and an environmental play area with a spray/play stepping stone feature and seating logs.
Naturalized Landscape: Boardwalks, naturalized plantings, undulating topography with stormwater detention, and Song Cycles public art created by Doug Hollis.
Open Lawn: Flexible space, including an 8' tall sloped landform for seating, sunning, and play.
Other Features: A variety of trees and plantings, pathways with benches, park lighting, a festival edge on Bond, electrical infrastructure for events, bicycle racks, a drinking fountain, dog waste bag dispensers, trash receptacles, and streetscape improvements.
Tuesday, March 3, 2009
Bicycles on the Water Front
Kerr Bikes will offer a fleet of unique bikes for unparalleled outdoor recreation, sightseeing, people watching and a touch of exercise that will enhance any leisure time experience in the park. There will be a variety of bikes to rent, such as tandem bikes, deuce coupes and surreys, offered in sizes for couples or for the entire family to share.
The new bike rental business is an employment opportunity for people with developmental disabilities who are in a Kerr program.
Kerr Bikes will be located on the north side of Hawthorne Bridge at Salmon Street Springs next to the old McCall's Restaurant in a separate kiosk.
Besides offering employment to the people Kerr serves, all the proceeds will go to benefit the programs of the nonprofit. The new project is financed in part by a $75,000 grant from Meyer Memorial Trust, which also gave an additional $100,000 in a low-interest loan.
Albertina Kerr is the leading provider of services to children, adults and families with mental health challenges and developmental disabilities. A private non-profit organization headquartered in Portland since 1907, Kerr spends more than 91 cents of every dollar to help Oregonians. Private donations and community support make this vital work possible.
Friday, February 27, 2009
Portland housing market ranked fourth best
- New York
- Washington DC
- Charlotte, NC
- Portland, Ore
- San Diego, Ca
Five worst housing market:
- Las Vegas
- Phoenix
- Detroit
- Minneapolis
- San Francisco
Thursday, February 26, 2009
Tip of the week ... how to make a proper cup of tea
Long before shorts, talls, pumpkin lattes, and frothy half-caf frappuccinos, America was a nation of tea totallers. Colonists drank black tea with abandon, renouncing it only when Britain’s unjust taxes inspired the Founding Fathers to dump their tea into the ocean. Tea didn’t completely disappear, but it was eclipsed by another caffeinated beverage.
It’s taken two centuries for tea to make a comeback, but over the past few years, the market has changed. From 1990 to 2006, wholesale tea sales more than tripled to an estimated $6.5 billion.
Brewing It Right
Just as with espresso, there are rules for making a “proper” cup of tea. First, heat the water—which isn’t as straightforward as it sounds. Experts say that you should use boiling water for black tea. For more delicate green or white tea let the water cool for a few minutes. Always add the water to the leaves instead of the reverse. How long you let the tea steep depends upon the variety and how much you’re making.
Be color-conscious
Grandma might pour it into bone china, but it doesn’t really matter what kind of cup you drink from. The only rule, according to Joe Simrany, president of the Tea Association, is that the inside should be white so that you can discern from the color of the tea that it has been properly steeped.
Leaf It Alone
When stored in an airtight container, out of direct sunlight, tea can last for quite a while. White and green teas can be stored up to a year but are best drunk relatively quickly. Darker teas tend to hold up better. Limit the amount of air in the container; a rolled-up Ziploc bag works well. Don’t bother with the refrigerator, since the leaves can pick up odors and flavors from other foods.
Source: Portfolio.com
Wednesday, February 25, 2009
OMSI After Dark
OMSI After Dark is an opportunity for the 21-and-over crowd to explore the museum in a child-free environment. Visitors will also be able to taste and learn the science behind food and beverage favorites with local artisans. The OMSI Market Cafe will be open and cash bars will also be available for those who want more than just a taste!
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
Case Shiller Index report for December
Getting Close to the Real Estate Tipping Point
Are we somewhere near the "tipping point" for real estate, where an accumulation of positive economic and government policy developments starts moving housing toward higher sales and stabilized prices?
This week there are some strong signs that we just might be there.
Tops on the list: The massive stimulus bill signed into law by President Obama is certain to pull buyers into the market who otherwise would have stayed on the sidelines.
The new tax credit in the legislation goes up to $8,000 and is non-repayable -- unlike last year's ineffective credit program. It' s intended for "first time" purchasers, but under the program definition, you're a first timer as long as you haven't owned or co-owned a house during the previous three years.
You might have sold your long-time home in 2005 or early 2006, and haven't owned a house since, but you still qualify as a first timer for the $8,000 credit this year.
Most economists aren't sure just how many additional home sales the credit will stimulate, but even Mark Zandi of Moody's Economy.com says the "credit is a plus for the housing market." Brian Bethune, an economist with IHS Global Insight, says the $8,000 credit will not only push large numbers of consumers to buy homes, but will also "buffer the rate of decline in home prices" by creating more demand.
A second major government initiative announced last week should also be helpful: The Obama administration's massive $275 billion relief program to keep three to four million home owners out of foreclosure, and to refinance three to four million mortgages where owners can't otherwise qualify for a new loan because of property value declines.
Still another positive sign: Home buyers and owners are beating a wide path to their mortgage lenders not only to refinance but to take out new loans to buy houses. Total applications for new mortgages last week exploded -- up by an extraordinary 48 percent, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Applications for conventional loans to buy houses were up by 11 percent.
Part of the reason was that rates fell again -- this time to an average of just 4.99 percent for 30 year fixed rates and 4.7 percent for fixed rate 15 year loans.
The opportunities here are pretty tempting ... and it looks like buyers are getting the message.
Thursday, February 19, 2009
Amazing Green Comet to Pass the Earth this Month.
The best opportunity is just before dawn one-third of the way up the southern sky. It should be near Saturn and two bright stars, Spica and Regula.
On Monday at 10:43 p.m. EST, it will be 38 million miles from Earth, the closest it will ever get, according to Donald Yeomans, manager of NASA's Near Earth Object program.
Lulin was discovered by a Chinese teenager two years ago. It still has many of its original gases — gases that are usually stripped away as comets near the sun. Unlike most comets viewable from Earth, this one hasn't been this close to the sun before, Yeomans said.
Wednesday, February 18, 2009
First Time Home Buyer Stimulus - explained
First-time home buyers (including those who haven't owned for three years) who purchase homes from the start of the year until the end of November 2009 may be eligible for the lower of an $8,000 or 10% of the value of the home tax credit. Remember a tax credit is very different than a tax deduction – a tax credit is equivalent to money in your hand, as opposed to a tax deduction which only reduces your taxable income. The tax credit starts phasing out for couples with incomes above $150,000 and single filers with incomes above $75,000. Buyers will have to repay the credit if they sell their homes within three years.
Another provision of the stimulus bill is designed to help promote energy-efficient investments in homes by extending and expanding tax credits through 2010 for purchases such as new furnaces, energy-efficient windows and doors, or insulation.
We believe these initiatives will help provide stability for the real estate market and give folks confidence to make a purchasing decision.
Tuesday, February 17, 2009
January RMLS Market Report
The good news is that January pending sales are up 52.5% compared to the previous year. Perhaps the snowbirds who didn't write offers in December, came out and made purchasing decisions in January.
Hopefully this upward trend will continue and be based on good value in the market place, low interest rates, and pent up demand for housing.
Monday, February 16, 2009
Getting Involved in your Neighborhood Association
If you really care about an issue or have an idea for a project in a Portland Neighborhood, you might find support at your neighborhood association.
The City's 95 associations do everything from planning festivals to reviewing land-use proposals. They are run by volunteers, and their agendas tend to reflect the interests and priorities of the people who come and participate, according to Paul Leistner, the city's neighborhood program coordinator.
To get started, look up your association by entering your address at www.portlandmaps.com/. The name of your association will appear in the upper left hand corner next to your address.
then go to www.portlandonline.com/oni and click on the "my neighborhood" tab at the top for a directory of leaders and meeting times.
For downtown residents, you will find six different neighborhood associations depending on where you live.
For more details you can call 503-823-4519.
Saturday, February 14, 2009
Friday, February 13, 2009
How to time the Market.
"The stock market will fluctuate, but you can't pinpoint when it will tumble or shoot up." (AAII Guide to Mutual Funds)
"It must be apparent to intelligent investors--if anyone possessed the ability to do so (market time) he would become a billionaire--quickly--." (David Babson, author, adviser)
"What it really takes to improve your returns and diminish your risks is a willingness to stop focusing exclusively on the movement of the markets." (Baer & Ginsler, The Great Mutual Fund Trap)
"If we haven't said it enough, we'll say it again: Market timing is dangerous." (Barron's Guide to Making Investment Decisions.)
"Only liars manage to always be "out" during bad times and "in' during good times. (Bernard Baruch, famed investor)
"You have to keep reminding yourself. We don't know what's going to happen with anything, ever." (Peter Bernstein)
"I never have the faintest idea what the stock market is going to do in the next six months, or the next year, or the next two." (Warren Buffet)
"Any investment method that relies on predicting the future is doomed to fail." (Chandan & Sengupta, financial authors)
"A successful investor has a good knowledge base, a well-defined investment plan, and nerves of steel to stick with it." (Andrew Clarke, financial author)
"Forget market timing in any form." (Paul Farrell, (CBS Marketwatch.com)
"Benjamin Graham spent much of his career trying to devise a good formula for when to get into--and out of--the stock market. All formulas, he concluded, failed." (Forbes, 12-27-99)
"Don't sell out of fear or buy out of greed. Just keep making investments, and let the market take its course over the long-term." (Norman Fosback, author, researcher)
"The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectful." (John Kenneth Galbraith, Economist)
"If I have noticed anything over these 60 years on Wall Street, it is that people do not succeed in forecasting that's going to happen to the stock market." (Benjamin Graham)
"From June 1980 through December 1992, 94.5% of 237 market timing investment newsletters had gone of business." (Graham/Campbell Study)
"After receiving the Nobel Prize, Daniel Kahneman, was asked by a CNBC anchorman what investment tips he had for viewers. His answer: "Buy and hold."
"No one is smart enough to time the market's ups and downs." (Arthur Levitt, former SEC chairman)
"Nobody can predict interest rates, the future direction of the economy or the stock market." (Peter Lynch)
"At the peak of the bull market in March of 2000 only 0.7% of all recommendations on stocks issued by Wall Street brokerages and investment banks were to "Sell." (Miami Herald, 1-26-03)
"We're not keen on market-timing. It just doesn't work." (Morningstar Course 106)
"We've yet to find anyone who can accurately and consistently predict the market's short-term moves." (Motley Fools)
"Forget trying to time the market and do something productive instead." (Gerald Perritt, financial author)
"The market timer's Hall of Fame is an empty room." (Jane Bryant Quinn)
"In the long run it doesn't matter much whether your timing is great or lousy. What matters is that you stay invested." (Louis Rukeyser, TV host)
"It's my belief that it's a waste of time to try to time any market decline, or try to pinpoint a market bottom." (James Stewart, Smart Money columnist)
"People should stop chasing performance and just put together a sensible portfolio regardless of the ups and downs of the market." (David Swensen, Yale Investments)
"Trust in time and forget market timing. Allow time to work its compounding magic for you. Let market timing inflict its miseries on someone else." (Tweddell & Pierce, financial authors)
Courtesy of Taylor Larimore (It’s actually for stock market but can just as well be applied to purchasing a home)
Thursday, February 12, 2009
Portlands Best Coffee?
Have you guessed it yet?? TaDa.... we're talking the one and only Via Dilizia.
Having been there many times for evening desert, I now need to give it a try in the morning.
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
Terra Del Sol Spa and Salon
Tuesday, February 10, 2009
The Case for Buying Real Estate Now
No one can time a market bottom - not in stocks and not in Real Estate. We see the bottom only when we look in the rear view mirror. Mortgage rates are terrific, sellers are highly motivated, the supply of available units is astonishing, and government programs to encourage home purchases are creating some tempting opportunities.
For those who think of real estate as a short term investment, this is not for you. For those who want to own the home they live in and want to have lots of choices, you should be looking now. You should be well versed in what you can afford and how you will structure a loan. This means serious discussions with a lender.
Our team has years of experience working with buyers and sellers in all price ranges. First time home buyers and transferees moving to our region get the same service as our immediate family members would.
Don't wait. Interest rates may dip some but will eventually go up. Inflation will surely come on the heals of the big stimulus programs being debated in Washington DC, and sooner or later, the supply of decent homes will trend downward. These factors usually contribute to rising home values.
Please feel free to contact us for more information.
Friday, February 6, 2009
The Meriwether Condominiums
Thursday, February 5, 2009
First Thursday Gallery Suggestions
- Laura Russo Gallery, 805 NW 21st St - Painter Jack Portland combines elements of surrealism and expressionism with a patterned and abstract vocabulary. He incorporates images ranging from landscape to still life to a synopsis of personal forms.
- Butters Gallery, 520 N.W. Davis, Second floor - encaustic paintings by Debra Van Tuinen, and glass pieces by Alessandro Casson.
- New American Art Union, 922 SE Ankeny Street - presents Evident by Laura Fritz.
Wednesday, February 4, 2009
Should you refinance?
In this chaotic housing market, it pays to shop around for a lender. According to mortgage experts, there can be a 1 percentage point difference in rates from the highest-priced lender to the lowest-priced and 0.25 percentage point swings in the market day to day. When comparing mortgages, be aware that lenders might offer you their best rate when you first contact them, then quote a higher rate when you apply. Any rate you're offered can change quickly, so if you get a great rate, lock it in that day.
If you would like a list of lenders who have worked successfully with our buyer clients, please let me know and I will email you their list.
Monday, February 2, 2009
Energy Saving Tips of the Month
The good folks at Earth Advantage came up with the following advice on how we can change the way we use energy with these no-cost and low-cost energy saving tips:
- Caulk small holes and cracks under countertops and around plumbing pipes, exhaust fans, dryer vents, sink and bathtub drains, and fireplaces.
- Check your furnace filter monthly and clean or replace dirty filters to help your furnace work at peak efficiency.
- Stop air leaks by installing gaskets behind switch plates and outlets on exterior walls.
Saturday, January 31, 2009
Weekend Fun
COSTELLO CALLS TO BUY A COMPUTER FROM ABBOTT
ABBOTT: Super Duper computer store. Can I help you?
COSTELLO : Thanks. I'm setting up an office in my den and I'm thinking about buying a computer.
ABBOTT : Mac?
COSTELLO : No, the name's Lou .
ABBOTT : Your computer?
COSTELLO : I don't own a computer. I want to buy one.
ABBOTT : Mac?
COSTELLO: I told you, my name's Lou .
ABBOTT : What about Windows?
COSTELLO : Why? Will it get stuffy in here?
ABBOTT : Do you want a computer with Windows?
COSTELLO : I don't know. What will I see when I look at the windows?
ABBOTT : Wallpaper.
COSTELLO : Never mind the windows. I need a computer and software.
ABBOTT : Software for Windows?
COSTELLO : No. On the computer! I need something I can use to write proposals, track expenses and run my business. What do you have?
ABBOTT : Office.
COSTELLO: Yeah, for my office. Can you recommend anything?
ABBOTT : I just did.
COSTELLO : You just did what?
ABBOTT : Recommend something.
COSTELLO : You recommended something ?
ABBOTT : Yes.
COSTELLO : For my office?
ABBOTT : Yes.
COSTELLO : OK, what did you recommend for my office?
ABBOTT : Office.
COSTELLO : Yes, for my office!
ABBOTT : I recommend Office with Windows.
COSTELLO : I already have an office with windows! OK, let's just say I'm sitting at my computer and I want to type a proposal. What do I need?
ABBOTT : Word.
COSTELLO : What word?
ABBOTT : Word in Office.
COSTELLO : The only word in office is office.
ABBOTT : The Word in Office for Windows.
COSTELLO : Which word in office for windows?
ABBOTT : The Word you get when you click the blue 'W'.
COSTELLO : I'm going to click your blue 'w' if you don't start with some straight answers. What about financial bookkeeping? You have anything I can track my money with?
ABBOTT: Money.
COSTELLO : That's right. What do you have?
ABBOTT : Money.
COSTELLO : I need money to track my money?
ABBOTT : It comes bundled with your computer.
COSTELLO : What's bundled with my computer?
ABBOTT : Money.
COSTELLO : Money comes with my computer?
ABBOTT : Yes. No extra charge.
COSTELLO : I get a bundle of money with my computer? How much?
ABBOTT : One copy.
COSTELLO : Isn't it illegal to copy money?
ABBOTT : Microsoft gave us a license to copy Money.
COSTELLO : They can give you a license to copy money?
ABBOTT : Why not? THEY OWN IT!
(A few days later)
ABBOTT : Super Duper computer store. Can I help you?
COSTELLO : How do I turn my computer off?ABBOTT : Click on 'START'.............
Friday, January 30, 2009
Wellness made easy
This is good news for downtowners who typically walk about more then their suburban counter parts. Picking up the pace on our trek to Starbucks, the grocery store, or to the dog park can keep us just as healthy as that step aerobics class at the local 24 HR Fitness.
We should also know that Portlanders live in one of the top walking cities in the US. According to The American Podiatric Medical Association, Portland ranked number 4 in their survey of 200 U.S. incorporated cities. The survey is based on three walking conducive categories: healthy lifestyles, modes of transportation to and from work, and involvement in fitness and sport activities.
Thursday, January 29, 2009
Wireless Internet for All
A new service has rolled out in Portland from a company named Clear. They are promoting heavily so you may have seen their ads. The Clear Network is powered by WiMAX, which is specifically designed for high speed Internet data usage. You can have home service or city wide access. It's a great concept and I hope the performance of the system lives up to the potential.
Consider having wireless service anywhere you go in Portland with your laptop. Good idea.
The service is priced less then other Internet options and the data speeds are supposed to be very fast. Clear has opened a sales boutique across from our office on NW Lovejoy. I'll check it out today to learn more about this exciting technology. For now, their web site is a good source of information about the service - http://www.clear.com/.
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
South Waterfront Update
Tuesday, January 27, 2009
Latest Housing Index Shows Portland Down 11.45%
How do we compare to other metropolitan areas? San Diego is down 25.8%, San Francisco is down 30.8%, Phoenix is down 32.9% and Los Angeles is down 25.86%. Seattle performed similar to Portland and is down 11.2%.
Overall, Case-Shiller's index of twenty metropolitan areas is down 18.2% for the past one year.
This is one time when being below average is probably a good thing.
Monday, January 26, 2009
Modern Daydreams
While attending the OMSI Gala last Saturday night we were entertained by BodyVox, Portland's internationally acclaimed dance company. One of the items they entertained us with was this humorous video. You may enjoy it here and if you look closely, you will recognize scenes of the Pearl District, circa 2001.
Friday, January 23, 2009
The Civic
We happen to have a listing in The Civic. It's #1502, a terrific two bedroom unit with sweeping views of the city and several large mountain peaks. It's has over 14oo sqft, beautiful wood floors, a terrace, two parking spaces and is priced at just $585,000. If you'd like to see a list of all homes for sale at The Civic, please visit our website bpr.com or you can just click on our Civic page.
Thursday, January 22, 2009
A Good Clean-Team Can Be Your Association's Best Investment
But cleaning staff are like the late, great Rodney Dangerfield in that they have every right to complain, “I don’t get no respect.” How important, really, is a professional cleaning crew?
Consultants who have studied the success of Walt Disney World have surveyed thousands of guests about what they like best about their experience at a Disney resort. Is it the rides, entertainment, food, shopping, hob-nobbing with Mickey? No, the number one thing they like about the themed amusement park is, “It’s so clean.”
Not only is cleanliness a top priority in a community’s long-term planning, it must be included with other contingencies that make up a manager’s “emergency” list, along with the plumbers, electricians and others who can respond immediately if a pipe bursts or lightning strikes. If someone gets sick in the fitness room on Saturday evening, no one wants to wait until Monday morning to see it cleaned up.
The methods used by community associations for keeping things clean can vary as much as the communities themselves. While the very smallest — a two or three-unit building— may rely on volunteer cooperation of its two or three owners, the vast majority of community associations hire professionals for regular maintenance as well as emergency clean-ups. The range of duties can vary widely.
A typical punch list includes vacuuming carpets in hallways and other common areas; cleaning and checking the equipment in laundry rooms as well as fitness centers, bathrooms, function rooms and even outdoor areas.
“We will roll out the trash bins and pick up litter for our larger properties,” states one property manager. “We also handle some of the more heavy-duty jobs on a community’s common buildings and exteriors, such as power-washing… and we can do window cleaning up to three floors high.”
Carpet cleaning is important to the appearance of any property, and most associations schedule it at least once or twice a year — or more often if they can afford it.
Of course, the level of perfection that associations demand can vary from one property or community to the next. One community may be satisfied with the level of cleaning provided by a resident as a “side job,” while another association looks to professionals and expects perfection.
-Article in Condo Magazine